Is it time for a spring vacation in Mexico or Canada?
The idea may seem interesting when the Trump administration confuses its neighbors by activating the prices and extinct and by throwing an innumerable job in doubt. However, for travelers, say the veterans of the industry, this experienced experience will not make an immediate difference at the cost of flights or housing in Mexico or Canada.
Because prices are based on the borders of goods, not people, they do not directly affect airlines and hotels. But the tariff battle can also lead to indirect effects that could increase costs, the anxieties of travelers or both.
In the three countries, restaurants could soon pay more for the ingredients and transmit expenses. In the Canadian province of Ontario, Prime Minister Doug Ford ordered Alcohol stores led by the government to remove American alcohol products from their shelves.
To the Marketing organization, destination of Vancouver, the director of communications, Suzanne Walters, said that certain American groups “put a grip on their short -term events” in Vancouver – not because of prices but “due to loss of jobs or reductions in government funding”.
Regarding leisure travelers, “it's as usual,” she said. “Our goal remains on being open and welcoming for all our visitors and that certainly includes our American friends.”
People are waiting for the Tom Bradley international terminal in Lax. Last month, when the pricing conflict was heating up, Air Canada announced that it would reduce service to several American cities.
(Luis Sinco / Los Angeles Times)
But the relationship is more and more complicated. A “Trump Tariff Tracker” web survey of March 5 of the Canadian Survey Leger revealed that while 60% of the Americans interviewed said that they considered Canada 31% of Canadians Said the same thing in the United States-and 30% said they saw the United States now as an enemy.
Meanwhile, in southern Baja in California, “we have not seen any effect on reservations,” said Rodrigo Esconda, managing director of Los Cabos Tourism Board. In fact, Esponda said, the number of California flights to Los Cabos is expected to increase with the addition of non -stop services from Oakland on March 20 and Ontario in June.
“Person,” said ESPONDA, “connects in progress conversations (price) with the hospital hospital.”
Mars is the busiest month of the destination of the year, said Esconda, attracting more than 300,000 visitors. While Los Cabos annual tourism increased from 2.7 million in 2019 to 3.7 million in 2024, average hotel rates increased to $ 450 per night.
Price hostilities, simmered for weeks, degenerated on Tuesday when the Trump administration imposed a 25% price on imports from Mexico and Canada, alleging that these countries are both Sweet on drug addictsAlthough statistics show that Canada's role in American drug smuggling minimal.
Canada So said it would be Phase in 25% prices on many American products in the next three weeks. Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum, who warned that nobody would win under Trump's proposal, said Mexico riposte and described Trump's claims as an offensive, defamatory and without support “.
Then Trump decided to exclude the automobiles from the measures. And then Thursday – two days after the start of the new prices – Trump reversed the course and said that he would delay the prices on many Canadian and Mexican products until April 2. (Trump has also increased tariffs on China by 10%, reprisals by China expected in the coming days.)
Air prices and hotel prices, posture and rhetoric have already extinguished certain potential travelers, especially in Canada.
Another LEGER survey revealed that 16% of Canadian respondents had canceled trips to the United States, while 1% of American respondents had canceled trips to Canada.
If higher prices are imposed and last weeks or more, veterans in the travel industry say they would expect a collapse in cross -border business travel, a key revenue source for airlines and hotels. With fewer business travelers, airlines could reduce the number of flights, invoice leisure travelers more or invoice less and hope to stimulate demand.
“If they see this kind of deposit, you will see smaller planes and less frequency and higher costs,” said John Décala, editor of the Johnnyjet.com Newsletter and a frequent visitor in Canada. Discala noted that last month, when the pricing conflict was heating up, Air Canada announced that it reduce services to several American cities.
A boat is supervised by the Ark of Cabo San Lucas, a rocky granite formation at the southern end of Cabo San Lucas.
(Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times)
At a much longer term, higher prices would increase the cost of Construction, purchase and rental jetsPutting stress on airlines to increase prices.
Even if the current impasse cools, Bad Blood could linger, several industry observers said – and not only in Canada. An SNAP survey, conducted President Trump's speech in the Congress the day after, revealed that 72% of veterans of the veterans expect the Americans abroad “are less welcome and perceived more negative” following Trump's global trade policies.
The survey, conducted by Global Rescue, a supplier of medical care, security and risk management services to travelers, questioned more than 1,100 travelers after President Trump's speech at Congress on Tuesday.
“The data is clear – travelers expect a change in the way they are received abroad,” said Dan Richards, CEO of global rescue companies, in a prepared statement. “This does not mean that Americans should cancel their travel plans, but they should be aware of their environment, practice cultural sensitivity and take proactive measures to mitigate potential risks.”
March 3, openjaw.com reported that FlightCcentre Travel Group Canada had a 40% drop in Canadians to book leisure trips to the United States
However, with regard to the attitude of Canadian hosts towards American visitors, Décala said that he did not expect many fireworks. “Will Americans welcome?” All my Canadian readers have said they would be, unless they wear a Maga hat or a “51st state” shirt, “he said. “They don't think it's funny at all. And I don't blame them.
Meanwhile in Mexico, there is another tariff situation for travelers to keep in mind. In December 2024, the Senate of Mexico approved a $ 42 at head On incoming foreign cruise passengers, to take effect on July 1.
This decision has shot protests from cruising lines but is far from unique. Foreign tourists arriving in Mexico by plane were already assessed a comparable tax. In addition, over the past two years, destinations in New Zealand, Greece and Iceland have imposed or increased taxes on visiting passengers.
