Timing, brevity, sudden and unilateral nature of all this. If the allies of Ukraine needed proof of wild cynicism from Moscow regarding peace, the announcement of an immediate truce For Easter, provided exactly that.
He came a few hours after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and his boss President Donald Trump said they needed an urgent sign in the coming days that the Kremlin was serious about peace.
For supporters of Russia, the announcement of Russian President Vladimir Putin on Saturday looked like Trump's eye – but the sudden statement is so riddled with practical defects, even before he comes out of the box, that he is probably simply used by Putin to support his false note Kyiv does not want his war to stop.
It will be a logistics nightmare for the forces of Ukraine suddenly, immediately stop fighting at the request of Putin. Certain first line positions can be in the middle of ferocious clashes when this order passes, and a cessation of this nature probably requires days of preparation and preparation.
The disinformation is required to confuse the troops concerning the implementation of the truce, how to report or respond to violations, and even what to do with regard to the end.
It is possible that this moment will prove to be a rare sign that the two parties can stop violence for a short period. But it is much more likely that they will use both violations and confusion to show that their opponent cannot trust. At the local time on Saturday evening, Ukrainian officials said that Russian strikes continued on the front line.
The truce during 30 days limited to energy infrastructure was born in full chaos conditions. The White House announced that “energy and infrastructure” were covered, the Kremlin said they had immediately stopped attacks on “energy infrastructure”, and Ukraine said the truce had started a week later than the Kremlin. His execution was also embedded in distrust and accusations of violations.
Moscow made a similar unilateral statement in January 2023, calling for a day of peace to allow Orthodox Christians to observe Christmas – a decision that kyiv and Western leaders rejected at the time as a strategic break for military purposes.
A real truce requires negotiation with your opponent and preparations to settle down. The sudden rush of this seems entirely designed to appease requests from the White Chamber for a sign that Russia is ready to stop fighting. He will probably feed Trump's pro-time framing of the conflict. This can also cause Ukraine complexities when they are inevitably accused of having violated what Washington can consider as a goodwill gesture of Moscow.
In the end, this brief, probably theoretical, probably rhetorical and entirely unilateral to a three -year war is likely to do more damage to the role of diplomacy in the coming months than to support it.
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