Paris Agreement: The United States leaves the global climate pact-what happens next?

A joy withdrew the crowd from a stadium in Washington DC on January 20, while US President Donald Trump signed a prescription on stage to withdraw from the United States from the Paris climate treaty. THE order said this decision was in the interest of placing “America first”. But the environmental groups condemned the decision, arguing that the release of the second greenhouse gas transmitter from the world of the agreement will exacerbate climate damage while giving up American influence in global negotiations to its rival and its juggernaut of clean energy in China.

“It is a question from the United States and the Trump administration shooting itself in the foot,” said David Waskow At the World Resources Institute, a global environmental non -profit organization. “It will put the touch of the United States.”

This is the second time that Trump has removed the United States Paris AgreementThe historical agreement agreed in 2015 to limit global warming to much less than 2 ° C above the pre-industrial average. Due to the rules of the United Nations Treaty, the first release in 2017 took three years to become official, and the United States left for a few months before former American president Joe Biden, the country joined in 2021.

This time, the rules of the agreement stipulate that it will take a year for withdrawal to become official, the date on which the United States will be the only great economy which is not part of the agreement. The other countries that have not signed are Libya, Yemen and Iran.

“This is certainly not good news for international climate action,” says Li shuo At the Asia Society Policy Institute in Washington DC. Unlike the first time the United States has withdrawn, this second outing arrives at a time when the country's appetite for ambitious programs reductions was already confronted with geopolitical, social and economic obstacles, he says. Last year saw Record global emissions while the increase in world average temperatures exceeded 1.5 ° C for the first time.

The American release will leave the country without leverage to put pressure for deeper sections of emissions and could create an excuse for countries around the world to reduce their own climate commitments. “The climatic momentum around the world, even before the Trump elections, decreased,” said Li.

However, the American withdrawal will not mean that the “background decreases” of global climate action, Waskow explains. Countries representing more than 90% of global emissions are still attached to the Paris Agreement. Wind and solar energy, electric vehicles, batteries and other clean technologies also play a much more important role in the world economy than the first time that the United States has withdrawn, he said.

“The rest of the world moves towards clean energy,” says Manish Bapna At Natural Resources Defense Council, an American environment for the environment. “It will slow this transition, not stop it.” But that raises the question of what role the United States will play in the shaping of this future, he said.

Is immense is China, which dominates many of the main clean energy industriesS, from solar panels to batteries, and exports more and more its technology to the rest of the world. “The United States will not only be the famous influence on how these markets are shaped, but will give up these markets,” explains Waskow. “I don't think other countries will first think of the United States, thinking about who to get involved.”

Global Climate Action's retirement also occurs while the new Trump administration has moved quickly to reverse, abandon or hinder the policies of the previous administration in a burst of decrees made in the first day in power. These include a temporary ban on federal licenses for wind energy and a decline in policies that Biden has set up to encourage the absorption of electric vehicles. Others aim to extend the development of fossil fuels on federal land, in coastal waters and in Alaska and increase natural gas exports to resolve what another statements is a “national energy emergency”. “We are going to drill, baby, drill,” he said in his inaugural address.