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American actions have underperformed the rest of the world this year by the widest margin in more than three decades while the development of Donald Trump's erratic policies is expanding an exodus of investors of American assets.
The MSCI USA index – a large gauge of American shares – lost 11% in the first 16 weeks of the year. The MSCI ALL World ex-US reference climbed 4% in dollars during the same period, the biggest gap with Wall Street since 1993, when the enthusiasm of American investors for foreign actions has increased on trade liberalization and concerns about the domestic economy.
The Gulf in Performance highlights the expectations of investors that Trump Blitz's price weighs on the American economy, injuring growth and increasing inflation, only on economies elsewhere. The gap has been particularly marked in Europe, where American isolationism has caused higher government spending promises – in particular for defense – which should stimulate the local economy and support the stock markets.
“A large part of this sub-performance is the repair of American assets due to the increased uncertainty of policies and stagflationist shock of prices,” said Sameer Goel, responsible for emerging markets and Apac research in Deutsche Bank.
The tumultling green tank has helped expand the performance gap. He dropped 8% this year against a basket of six large currencies, including the euro and the yen, increasing the performance of the non -American market in dollars.
Investors began the year to bet that American shares would continue to outdo their peers elsewhere while Trump tax reductions have undergone business profits. But this point of view quickly took place after the American president launched a much more aggressive trade war than most investors had planned it.
The S&P 500 fell up to 12% during the week following the announcement of Trump's “Liberation Day” on April 2. Although he has since recovered a large part of these losses while Trump has reversed or delayed some of his prices, he continues to late world competitors such as Hong Kong of Hang Seng or the Stoxx Europe 600.
In Europe, defense actions such as Rheinmetall in Germany, Italian Leonardo and Rolls-Royce of the United Kingdom have led the higher clues, stimulated by the region's plans to increase military spending to reduce dependence on the United States. The Dax index of Germany is up more than 20% in dollars this year, while the CAC 40 French is up approximately 12%.
“Capital flows to Europe, supported by confidence in solid institutions, governance and stock markets which are generally negotiated with discounts compared to their American counterparts,” said Lewis Grant, principal portfolio director for global stocks at Federated Hermes.
In Asia, the Hang Seng is up 10% this year in dollars, led by Chinese technological actions after the unveiling of AI models by start-up Deepseek which, according to the company, was trained in a fraction of the cost and the computing power of the American rivals such as OpenAi.